NFL Draft Props and Bets
Written by Travis Gillmore
The NFL Draft can be a very profitable betting experience. We have a few early props that we think hold some great value.
This was a very eventful NFL offseason that included some massive contracts with a lot more guaranteed money, something that hasn’t been seen ever in the NFL. The bulk of those giant contracts were QBs and WRs, two positions that will no doubt be even more coveted in this year’s draft because of climate surrounding NFL contracts. Teams will no doubt be looking for inexpensive solutions at these positions and to set themselves up financially to build a better overall team.
WRs drafted in Round 1
Over 5.5 -150
Unlike the QB position however, which is sure to be highly sought after but lacking in talent, the wide receiver class looks as good as we’ve seen in quite awhile. Jameson Williams, Garrett Wilson, Drake London, Chris Olave, and Treylon Burks are all clear first round wide receivers. Add that to the fact that we’ve seen a lot of first year impact from this position over the past two years with Jefferson and Chase tearing up the league and it all comes up to teams drafting wide receivers at a high clip. We think these 5 will for sure go in the first round and then we just need one more to cash our over. This looks like a push at the very least and we think Jahan Dotson is a flat out stud who is being severely underrated and could also go in the first. Then you have Pickens and Watson who also have high end talent and could sneak into the first round. The juice is a little high at -150 but we actually like it all the way up to -185.
Number 1 Overall Pick
Travon Walker +350
Walker is actually more pro-ready than he is given credit for. His potential is immense based on his athleticism and his lower usage at Georgia. He still generated pressure on a majority of his snaps. He even dropped into coverage at 6’5″ and 275 pounds. At number one you want a game changers, you want a special talent which Walker definitely fits into. Hutchinson is a nice player who looks to be very solid but he doesn't really seem like he has the physical tools to be a number one overall pick. When you throw on the tape of the Georgia game he really doesn't pop at all and got dominated for the most part. Compare that to Walker who went up against those same offensive lineman in practice and looked good against other top end offensive lineman in the SEC. He has as much upside as anyone in the draft and Trent Baalke is a GM who favors upside. At +350 we think this is a great bet, especially with all the buzz around Walker coming from NFL teams.
OT Charles Cross Drafted Position
Under 7.5 +120
The Mississippi native is widely considered one of the top offensive tackles in the 2022 draft, with only Evan Neal of Alabama and Ikem Ekwonu of NC State consistently being ranked ahead of him. We think he may be the most ready to play offensive lineman in the draft however. He is consistently being moved around on many people's mock drafts so it's nice to get some plus money on a bet that we think has multiple ways to cash. Carolina definitely needs an offensive lineman at 6 and then you have the Giants with two picks before the number.
According to ESPN's Matt Miller, the Giants have had their eye on Cross, and one source said they "love" him as a potential right tackle. Cross played left tackle during his collegiate career but he has worked out plenty at right tackle during the lead-up to the draft. And the Giants will definitely have a chance to pick Cross, as they own the Nos. 5 and 7 overall picks in the draft.
You could easily see 3 OL players go in the top 7 and we think Cross will certainly be one of them. It's easy to get caught up in the hype of the skill position players and Quarterbacks but the reality is that you build a team up front. Offensive and defensive lines aren't sexy to talk about but they are the bones of the team and teams understand this much more than the media. It's generally a good idea to lean on more lineman to be drafted as the general public is constantly bombarded with QB and flashy positions which can lead to great value on these offensive line draft props.