NBA Futures: Thinking about the 2022 MVP market
October 10th, 2021
It's never to early to start thinking about futures bets, there's always value to be found and NBA MVP is no different. There isn't quite as much variance as MLB or NFL as the player pool is much smaller but there is still value to be had.
Top Shelf Futures
If you want to get the most value and get the best number you have to constantly monitor the market and jump in before you think the odds will get bet down. The more NBA people watch the more the are going to bet. There are more favorites that tend to come in for the NBA with such dominant players as Gianis, Steph, and Lebron but Westbrook and Jokic have snuck in there lately. There aren't as many players who really have a chance to win in the NBA just because teams are smaller and there aren't as many superstars.
MVP Candidates to Bet for Best Value
Giannis is a little bit chalky and it is possible that you can get a better number later on but it's really a fact at this point that if he stays healthy he's going to be considered for the award. He is too good and will continue to put up massive numbers on that Bucks team. They should have gotten any kind of monkey off of their backs with last years championship but you've got to think that they still have more to prove with all of the criticism they received at the beginning of the finals and Giannis' struggles at the free throw line in the playoffs. Giannis is still young and he realistically can still get better which is pretty scary. You can also look at how many players have won multiple MVPs, Lebron won 4 from 2008-2016 and Giannis could easily do something similar. 7/1 seems like a good number on someone who's won 2 out of the past 3 years.
6/1 or Better
Harden made a good run at the MVP last year even though he missed a lot of games last year. He will put up some big numbers on a team that most likely will be a 1 or 2 seed in the East. It's still unclear if Kyrie will be with this team which will boost Harden's numbers as long as he's not their either. Even if he does play he tends to miss a lot of time and is often hurt, same thing with Durant. And even though Harden missed a few games last year he's been an ironman for most of his career. At 20/1 this is great value for someone who's already won the award before and is on a team that is set up for a lot of success.
20/1 or Better
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